International
Super tuesday: Pivotal moment in U.S. presidential race nears
Super Tuesday, the pivotal day in the U.S. presidential primaries, is fast approaching, with significant implications for the campaigns of Joe Biden and Donald Trump.
Why is Super Tuesday Important?
Super Tuesday, scheduled for March 5th, marks a critical juncture in the presidential primaries, as it allocates the largest number of delegates in a single day—over 35%. The outcome of these primaries can often solidify the frontrunners and effectively determine the nominees for both parties.
Which States Participate in Super Tuesday?
Fourteen out of the fifty states in the U.S. will hold Republican and Democratic primaries on Super Tuesday, including California and Texas, the two largest states in the country. Other participating states include Alabama, Arkansas, Colorado, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Utah, Vermont, and Virginia.
How Many Delegates Are at Stake?
Republicans will select 865 out of the 2,429 delegates, constituting 35.6% of the total, while Democrats will choose 1,439 out of the 3,934 delegates, representing 36.5% of the total. These delegates will play a crucial role in determining the nominees for the Republican and Democratic National Conventions.
Can Biden Secure the Nomination on Super Tuesday?
Unlikely. Even if Joe Biden wins all the delegates up for grabs, he would still fall short of the 1,968 delegates needed to secure the Democratic nomination. However, given his current lead and lack of significant opposition, Biden is expected to reach the required delegate threshold by March 19th, after several more states have voted.
And Trump?
Similarly, Donald Trump is unlikely to secure the Republican nomination on Super Tuesday. While he leads comfortably in the Republican primaries, the presence of Nikki Haley in the race has delayed his path to victory. Trump currently has 244 delegates, and the Republicans still need to choose another 29 delegates in the North Dakota caucuses before Super Tuesday.
Will Haley Survive Super Tuesday?
Nikki Haley, Trump’s sole remaining rival in the Republican primaries, faces mounting pressure to withdraw from the race after several defeats. With only 43 delegates and growing skepticism about her candidacy, Haley sees Super Tuesday as a crucial test to demonstrate her viability as a candidate. However, a strong showing by Trump on Super Tuesday could make it difficult for Haley to justify staying in the race.
International
The Court of the IADH rules out measures in favor of Gustavo Petro amid investigations into his campaign
The Inter-American Court of Human Rights (IDHR) considered it “inappropriate” to grant provisional measures in favor of the President of Colombia, Gustavo Petro, which his representatives requested in the midst of investigations for apparent irregular financing of his political campaign.
The IADH Court explained that Petro’s legal team requested the measures as part of the process of supervising the sentence issued in 2020, in which the court condemned Colombia for the dismissal of Petro from his position as mayor of Bogotá in 2013.
The resolution, published on the website of the IADH Court, determined that the case resolved in 2020 is not related to the provisional measures and therefore rejected them.
“The Court considers that the aforementioned request is not related to the subject of the case (resolved in 2020) or to the implementation of any of the three guarantees of non-repetition of regulatory adequacy ordered in the judgment, which makes it inappropriate,” the resolution indicates.
A “factual” and “legal” situation different from that of 2020
The text adds that the request of Petro’s representatives “is based on a factual and legal situation different from that known to this Court in the Petro Urrego case judgment issued in 2020.”
“On that occasion, the Court considered it unconventional for an administrative authority to order the cessation and eventual disqualification of popularly elected officials. From the information provided in this request for provisional measures, it does not appear that the administrative body in question has the power to disqualify or restrict the political rights of a popularly elected official,” the Court of Human Rights determined.
Last October, the National Electoral Council (CNE) filed charges for alleged irregularities to the campaign that led Petro to the Presidency of Colombia in 2022.
The investigation found an alleged violation of spending caps of 5.3 billion pesos (about 1.19 million dollars).
In the request for provisional measures before the Inter-American Court, Petro’s representatives affirmed that there is an “irregular attribution of powers to the CNE to investigate President Gustavo Petro Urrego, which contravenes the conventional and constitutional guarantees of the integral jurisdiction enjoyed by the dignity of the office of President of the Republic.”
They added that the responsibility for investigating belongs to the Legal Committee of Investigation and Prosecutions of the Senate House of Representatives.
International
The Constitutional Court of Peru annuls the sentence against the leader of Dina Boluarte’s former party
The Peruvian Constitutional Court (TC) annulled this Thursday the sentence for corruption against the politician Vladimir Cerrón, leader of the Marxist party Free Peru in which President Dina Boluarte campaigned until 2022, after remaining on the run for more than a year, a time in which time the president began to be investigated for her alleged cover-up.
The TC declared the appeal of habeas corpus presented by Cerrón’s defense against the sentence, issued last year, which sentenced him to 3 and a half years in prison for the crime of collusion, for the concession of the Wanka Aerodrome when he was a regional authority of Junín, according to the judicial decision published by local media.
Boluarte was linked to Cerrón’s escape, after his official car was discovered by the press in a spa south of Lima, where the police searched days before for the leader of his former political party.
The Court claimed that the Junín Appeals Chamber violated the right to due motivation of judicial decisions by not specifying whether the crime of simple collusion was an instant, continuous and permanent crime.
The nullity of the sentence
The magistrates pointed out that this information is important to define the prescription of the crime, as Cerrón’sdefense maintains.
In that sense, the TC has ordered the Junín Appeals Chamber to issue a new pronouncement, in which it responds on the limitation periods of the crime to determine whether the criminal proceedings are still in force or are being filed.
Once the resolution was released in the media, Cerrón himself celebrated the news on the social network X and said that the TC is, in recent times, “the moral reserve” of Peruvian justice.
He added that the Constitutional Court declared the sentence against him null and void for being “arbitrary”, by declaring his appeal of habeas corpus in the Wanka Aerodrome case well-founded.
Cerrón is currently being prosecuted for other cases of alleged corruption when he was a regional authority and for the last electoral campaign in which his party presented the formula headed by Pedro Castillo, the dismissed former president for his failed coup d’état in 2022, and Boluarte as vice president.
International
Guterres calls for “avoiding at all costs” the integration of AI into nuclear weapons
UN Secretary-General António Guterres advocated on Thursday in the UN Security Council to “avoid at all costs” the integration of artificial intelligence (AI) in nuclear weapons, something that could have “potentially disastrous consequences”.
“AI without human supervision would leave the world blind, and would put world peace and security in a dangerous and reckless place,” Guterres told the Security Council, where a ministerial session is being held today, chaired by US Secretary of State, Anthony Blinken, on the progress of this tool and its implications in global security.
The Secretary General stressed that, while AI is making “a positive difference” in countries suffering from conflicts, food insecurity or the effects of climate change, it has also entered “the battlefield in a more problematic way.”
In this sense, he indicated that recent conflicts have become a testing ground for military applications of AI, which “creates a fertile ground for misunderstandings, miscalculations and mistakes.”
Humans and the algorithm
Thus, he recalled that this tool has already been used to select targets and make “life or death” decisions, and pointed out that cyberattacks made possible by AI “could paralyze the critical infrastructures of a country and its essential services.”
“Let’s be clear: the fate of humanity should never be left in the hands of the ‘black box’ of an algorithm. Humans must always have control in decision-making guided by international law, including international humanitarian and human rights laws and ethical principles,” he added.
In addition to its effects on international security, Guterres focused on the danger posed by the AI creating “very realistic content” that is then spread on the Internet and “manipulates public opinion, threatens the integrity of information and makes the truth indistinguishable from lies.”
The Portuguese politician brought up the UN Global Digital Compact, which was approved last September and addresses the rapid advance of AI, and shared his intention to finance innovative opportunities for this tool “where it is most needed.”
“A world of rich and poor in AI would be a world of perpetual instability. We must never allow (this technology) to lead to an advance of inequality,” he stressed, and said that technology must be “at the service of all humanity.”
The Court of the IADH rules out measures in favor of Gustavo Petro amid investigations into his campaign
The Constitutional Court of Peru annuls the sentence against the leader of Dina Boluarte’s former party
Guterres calls for “avoiding at all costs” the integration of AI into nuclear weapons
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