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North Korea seeks to break into the US presidential elections with its uranium centrifuges

By showing for the first time its facilities to manufacture fuel for nuclear bombs this Friday, North Korea is positioned to acquire prominence in the campaign for the presidential elections in the United States while the fear increases that it will soon carry out a large-scale weapons test.

It is a forceful gesture on the part of the regime of Kim Jong-un, which these days visited a plant full of cascades of uranium centrifuges – apparently more advanced than initially estimated by the experts – and ordered to increase the number of these devices “to exponentially increase the number of nuclear weapons.”

These are some keys to try to decipher this calculated message that Pyongyang – which since 2019 has refused to resume the dialogue on disarmament – has decided to issue with just over seven weeks to go for the Americans to elect a new president.

A gloomy uranium enrichment program

Few details are known about how, where and how much uranium is capable of enriching North Korea, as well as the level of concentration of isotopes of the resulting material (the higher the concentration of uranium-235, the more fligible the fuel of the pump).

Until now, North Korea had only shown in 2010 some facilities at the Yongbyon Nuclear Research Center (about 100 kilometers north of Pyongyang) to the American scientist Siegfried Hecker, who estimated that the place housed about 2,000 gas centrifuges – a more outdated model than the one shown on Friday – to produce low-enrichment uranium.

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Intelligence services and analysts assume that the regime has at least another processing center in Kangson, on the outskirts of the North Korean capital.

It is this Kangson enclosure that is believed to have been shown by the North Korean media (which do not mention the location of the plant), since they claim that Kim Jong-un visited the surface under construction for new centrifuges, something that agrees with a recent report from the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) that warns that an annex is being built in this complex located southwest of Pyongyang.

The chosen moment

The vast majority of experts believe that North Korea has chosen to show its centrifuges a few weeks before the US elections to regain prominence at a time when its weapons programs did not come to light even once in this week’s debate between candidates Donald Trump and Kamala Harris, as they did not do in June between Trump and Joe Biden.

Although North Korea is not an issue that currently conditions the vote of the Americans, the message that Pyongyang has sent today is that it will be an issue that will require attention from those who inherit the presidency from Biden.

“For Trump the message is ‘after the fiasco of (the summit of) Hanoi our atomic program goes ahead. If you want to stop it, you will have to sit down and negotiate.’ And for Harris it’s a bit the same; ‘Biden’s policy has failed, you’ll see if you want to sit down and negotiate,’” Ramón Pacheco Pardo, director of the chair on politics on the Korean peninsula at the Free University of Brussels, explains to EFE.

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Pacheco Pardo is one of those who believe that Pyongyang is willing to resume dialogue to lower sanctions or achieve a security agreement, but in terms different from those of 2019 in Hanoi, since today’s announcement endorses what Pyongyang has been saying in recent years: that there is no longer any possibility of him abandoning nuclear weapons.

What to expect in the coming weeks

Seoul and Washington and different experts have warned in recent weeks about the possibility of Pyongyang choosing to carry out just – before or after the presidential elections in the US – important weapons of mass destruction tests to get the attention of the new tenant of the White House.

It could be the launch of an intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM), possibly equipped with a multiple and independent re-entry vehicle (like the one tested in June), to show once again that North Korea can theoretically reach the US. This possibility charges integers after Pyongyang showed a new and impressive 12-axle mobile erector shuttle (TEL) last week.

A nuclear test now seems a little more unlikely, not only because it is something that can always anger China and Russia (which support the lifting of sanctions on Pyongyang), but because the damage caused by the monsoon in the accesses to the remote test center of Punggye-ri (northeast of the country) and recently detected by the satellites will require important repairs in the coming weeks.

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International

A report blames the Secret Service for the security failures in the Trump attack

An internal report of the US Secret Service published this Friday concluded that the security failures committed by the elite body, in charge of monitoring presidents and top-level political figures, are responsible for the attack suffered by former President Donald Trump last July, in which he was injured in an ear.

The internal review carried out as a result of the event – one of the many investigations that are being carried out on the incident – concluded, among other things, that the agents who were watching the former governor (2017-2021) while offering a rally in Butler (Pennsylvania) did not have the technical capacity to communicate with the local police.

Nor to detect drones on the day of the rally, says the report, which also clarifies that the agents did not previously talk about how a complex of warehouses that surrounded the place should be protected.

On July 13, Trump was shot in the ear while participating in a rally. The shooter, a 20-year-old who was later shot down by Secret Service agents, managed to shoot from a roof about 140 meters from the former president, although outside the security perimeter.

The strong criticism that arose after what happened caused the resignation of the director of the Secret Service, Kimberly Cheatle, who described the attack as “the most significant operational failure of the Secret Service in decades.”

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The scrutiny on the agency has increased in recent days after last Sunday Trump, apparently, had also been at risk of a second murder attempt while playing golf in Florida, at the hands of a man who was wandering for hours the area armed with an AK-47 rifle and equipped with a telescopic sight, without firing shots.

At a press conference today, the current acting director of the Secret Service, Ronald Rowe, said that Trump is currently receiving “the highest level of protection possible,” a security equal to that of President Joe Biden and candidate Kamala Harris.

Thus, last Sunday, at the golf course owned by Trump in West Palm Beach (Florida) “there were elements of snipers who were present” and “a complete counterattack team that was there nearby.”

The agent who saw the attacker “identified a threat, an individual with a long gun, and made quick decisions and acted quickly to mitigate it.”

“He did not shoot at the former president, he was not exposed,” he said, and the arrest was a sign that “the procedures work” and “that high level of protection is working.”

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Sunday’s event led several public figures, including President Joe Biden, to ask the Secret Service to receive more funds.

Precisely today the House of Representatives unanimously approved a two-party urgent legislation that would increase the protection of the Secret Service for the presidential candidates of both parties, Trump and Kamala Harris, as well as for their running mates for vice presidency.

The bill has only three pages and, if it becomes law, Trump and Harris would receive the same standard of Secret Security protection as President Joe Biden, something that according to Rowe is already happening.

In fact, it is not clear that the law will prosper because it has to go to the Senate, a chamber that is looking for additional funds for the Secret Service to be included in the provisional financing bill that Congress must approve before September 30 to avoid a government shutdown.

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International

Guterres talks to Maduro and expresses his concern about post-electoral violence

The President of Venezuela, Nicolás Maduro, spoke this Friday by phone with the Secretary General of the UN, António Guterres, who expressed “his concern about post-electoral violence and accusations of human rights violations” in the Caribbean country.

The call was initiated by the Venezuelan president, Guterres’ spokesman, Stéphane Dujarric, specified in his daily press conference.

In that call, Guterres insisted to Maduro that it is necessary to “resolve any political dispute peacefully through a genuine and inclusive dialogue.”

Maduro’s response to Guterres is not known

The spokesman did not explain what was the message that Maduro transmitted, but said that he “spoke very clearly and frankly about how he sees the situation,” before which Guterrres “took note.”

In previous pronouncements, Guterres has demanded that Venezuela communicate the detailed results of the electoral minutes of the July 28 elections, which has not happened, and has regretted the lack of transparency of the Venezuelan authorities.

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However, he has also recently said that the economic sanctions imposed by the United States “do not help” to resolve the situation.

Despite those words, Venezuelan Foreign Minister Yván Gil criticized Guterres last week and said that the UN Secretary General “avoids condemning the application of unilateral coercive measures (and) sides with those who sanction illegally. It is an affront to the mandate that the States have given him, all to defend the aggressors of Venezuela,” Gil said.

Asked a few days ago about whether the electoral conflict will affect Venezuela’s recognition before the UN – since Maduro and Edmundo González are fighting for victory in the elections – Dujarric clarified that the representation of the States is the responsibility of the other member states and not the secretary general.

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International

The United States assures that the war is still avoidable between Israel and the Hizbulah group

The White House assured this Friday that the war is avoidable between Israel and the Lebanese Shiite group Hezbulá, despite the increase in tension and attacks in recent hours, and added that, despite the fact that the information indicates otherwise, US diplomatic efforts to appease the region continue to advance.

In a call with the press, the White House National Security spokesman, John Kirby, said that “we still believe that there is time and space for a diplomatic solution and we are confident that it is the best way to move forward. War is not inevitable in the Blue Line (which marks the division between Lebanon and Israel).”

Get a ceasefire

US President Joe Biden assured in a cabinet meeting that his entire team continues to work to achieve a ceasefire in Gaza and for residents of northern Israel and southern Lebanon to return to their homes.

“Many things do not seem realistic until we get them,” Biden said in relation to the frustrated attempts to mediate for Israel and Hamas to reach an agreement to cease hostilities in Gaza and the Palestinian militia to release the hostages.

Kirby referred to information published on Thursday by The Wall Street Journal that assures that after the recent increase in tension with Hezbula, the White House considers the possibility of a ceasefire in Gaza, the main front in the conflict between Israel and various militias linked to Iran in the region, before the November presidential elections.

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“We will not lose hope and we will not stop working for it (a ceasefire that includes the release of hostages in the hands of Hamas in Gaza),” said Kirby, who reiterated that the main obstacle to an agreement in this regard is the leadership of the Palestinian group, despite recent reports in Israel that indicate that Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has sabotaged an agreement for months.

The US sees the truce between Israel and Hezbula difficult

According to The Wall Street Journal, in private, White House officials assure that a ceasefire agreement “is not imminent” and “we are not sure that it will ever be achieved.”

The tension in the region returned with the attack of October 7, 2023 from Hamas in Israeli territory, neighboring Gaza, in which almost 1,200 people died.

Since then Israel has maintained a harsh offensive in the Strip that has caused an unprecedented humanitarian crisis, the murder of more than 40,000 Palestinians and more than 95,550 wounded, according to data from the Ministry of Health in Palestine.

On the northern front, Hezbulah has intensified its rocket attacks on Israel and this country today bombed the suburb of Dahye, in southern Lebanon, which left eight dead and 59 injured, the third time it does so since the beginning of the crossfire in October.

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This Friday’s attack comes amid growing tension, after this week two waves of simultaneous explosions in thousands of communication devices carried by members of Hizbulá killed 37 people (some children) and injured almost 3,000 in Lebanon.

US intelligence assumes that the action was the result of a sophisticated Israeli operation to intervene in supply chains and implant explosives in the devices.

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