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Climate pledges still ‘nowhere near’ enough for 1.5C: UN

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| By AFP | Kelly Macnamara |

International climate pledges remain far off track to limit temperature rises to 1.5 degrees Celsius, according to a UN report released Wednesday, less than two weeks ahead of high-stakes negotiations to tackle global warming.

The combined climate pledges of more than 190 nations that signed up to the 2015 Paris climate deal put Earth on track to warm around 2.5C compared to pre-industrial levels by the century’s end, the UN said. 

With the planet already battered by climate-enhanced heatwaves, storms and floods after just 1.2C of warming, experts say the world is still failing to act with sufficient urgency to curb greenhouse gas emissions.     

“We are still nowhere near the scale and pace of emission reductions required to put us on track toward a 1.5 degrees Celsius world,” said Simon Stiell, Executive Secretary of UN Climate Change. 

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“To keep this goal alive, national governments need to strengthen their climate action plans now and implement them in the next eight years.”

The UN’s climate experts have said emissions — compared to 2010 levels — need to fall 45 percent by 2030 in order to meet the Paris deal’s more ambitious goal.

In this latest report, the UN said that current commitments from governments around the world will in fact increase emissions by 10.6 percent by 2030, from 2010. This was a slight improvement from a similar analysis a year ago.

‘Disappointing’

When nations met in Glasgow last year for a previous round of climate negotiations, they agreed to speed up their climate pledges to cut carbon pollution this decade and increase financial flows to vulnerable developing nations. 

But only 24 countries, of 193, had updated their plans at the time of the report, which Stiell said was “disappointing”.    

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“Government decisions and actions must reflect the level of urgency, the gravity of the threats we are facing, and the shortness of the time we have remaining to avoid the devastating consequences of runaway climate change,” he said.

He called on governments to revisit and strengthen their carbon cutting plans in line with the Paris temperature goals before the UN climate meeting, which will be held from November 6 to 18 in Sharm el-Sheikh, Egypt.

Nations are meeting in the shadow of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and cascading global crises of hunger, energy prices and living costs, exacerbated by extreme weather.  

Research by the World Resources Institute suggests that the world needs to curb emissions six times faster by 2030 than the current trajectory to meet the 1.5C warming cap. 

Australia and Indonesia have offered “some momentum” by stepping up their climate pledges since the last UN climate negotiations, said WRI’s Taryn Fransen, adding that further announcements from a range of countries including the European Union, Chile, Turkey and Vietnam are expected this year.  

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She said the world’s second biggest emitter, the United States, took a “massive step” this year with measures in its new sweeping climate and inflation bill and urged China, the biggest emitter, to set a specific goal to cut planet-warming methane pollution.  

‘Transformative response’

A second UN report also released Wednesday looked at longer term and “net-zero” climate goals to around mid century put forward by dozens of countries. 

It found that those countries’ greenhouse gas emissions would be 68 percent lower by 2050 than they were in 2019, if all strategies were fully implemented. 

“This is a sobering moment, and we are in a race against time,” said Sameh Shoukry, Egyptian Minister of Foreign Affairs and President-Designate of the upcoming UN COP27 talks.   

Countries need to do more, he said, adding that the “alarming findings merit a transformative response” in Egypt. 

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Scientists have warned that any rise above 1.5C risks the collapse of ecosystems and the triggering of irreversible shifts in the climate system.

With the impacts slamming hardest into countries least responsible for fossil fuel emissions, calls have grown louder for richer polluters to pay “loss and damage” to vulnerable nations.

In a landmark report this year on climate impacts and vulnerabilities, the UN’s 195-nation Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) warned that time had nearly run out to ensure a “liveable future” for all. 

That report was signed off by the same governments that will return to negotiations in Egypt. 

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International

The Court of the IADH rules out measures in favor of Gustavo Petro amid investigations into his campaign

The Inter-American Court of Human Rights (IDHR) considered it “inappropriate” to grant provisional measures in favor of the President of Colombia, Gustavo Petro, which his representatives requested in the midst of investigations for apparent irregular financing of his political campaign.

The IADH Court explained that Petro’s legal team requested the measures as part of the process of supervising the sentence issued in 2020, in which the court condemned Colombia for the dismissal of Petro from his position as mayor of Bogotá in 2013.

The resolution, published on the website of the IADH Court, determined that the case resolved in 2020 is not related to the provisional measures and therefore rejected them.

“The Court considers that the aforementioned request is not related to the subject of the case (resolved in 2020) or to the implementation of any of the three guarantees of non-repetition of regulatory adequacy ordered in the judgment, which makes it inappropriate,” the resolution indicates.

A “factual” and “legal” situation different from that of 2020

The text adds that the request of Petro’s representatives “is based on a factual and legal situation different from that known to this Court in the Petro Urrego case judgment issued in 2020.”

“On that occasion, the Court considered it unconventional for an administrative authority to order the cessation and eventual disqualification of popularly elected officials. From the information provided in this request for provisional measures, it does not appear that the administrative body in question has the power to disqualify or restrict the political rights of a popularly elected official,” the Court of Human Rights determined.

Last October, the National Electoral Council (CNE) filed charges for alleged irregularities to the campaign that led Petro to the Presidency of Colombia in 2022.

The investigation found an alleged violation of spending caps of 5.3 billion pesos (about 1.19 million dollars).

In the request for provisional measures before the Inter-American Court, Petro’s representatives affirmed that there is an “irregular attribution of powers to the CNE to investigate President Gustavo Petro Urrego, which contravenes the conventional and constitutional guarantees of the integral jurisdiction enjoyed by the dignity of the office of President of the Republic.”

They added that the responsibility for investigating belongs to the Legal Committee of Investigation and Prosecutions of the Senate House of Representatives.

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International

The Constitutional Court of Peru annuls the sentence against the leader of Dina Boluarte’s former party

The Peruvian Constitutional Court (TC) annulled this Thursday the sentence for corruption against the politician Vladimir Cerrón, leader of the Marxist party Free Peru in which President Dina Boluarte campaigned until 2022, after remaining on the run for more than a year, a time in which time the president began to be investigated for her alleged cover-up.

The TC declared the appeal of habeas corpus presented by Cerrón’s defense against the sentence, issued last year, which sentenced him to 3 and a half years in prison for the crime of collusion, for the concession of the Wanka Aerodrome when he was a regional authority of Junín, according to the judicial decision published by local media.

Boluarte was linked to Cerrón’s escape, after his official car was discovered by the press in a spa south of Lima, where the police searched days before for the leader of his former political party.

The Court claimed that the Junín Appeals Chamber violated the right to due motivation of judicial decisions by not specifying whether the crime of simple collusion was an instant, continuous and permanent crime.

The nullity of the sentence

The magistrates pointed out that this information is important to define the prescription of the crime, as Cerrón’sdefense maintains.

In that sense, the TC has ordered the Junín Appeals Chamber to issue a new pronouncement, in which it responds on the limitation periods of the crime to determine whether the criminal proceedings are still in force or are being filed.

Once the resolution was released in the media, Cerrón himself celebrated the news on the social network X and said that the TC is, in recent times, “the moral reserve” of Peruvian justice.

He added that the Constitutional Court declared the sentence against him null and void for being “arbitrary”, by declaring his appeal of habeas corpus in the Wanka Aerodrome case well-founded.

Cerrón is currently being prosecuted for other cases of alleged corruption when he was a regional authority and for the last electoral campaign in which his party presented the formula headed by Pedro Castillo, the dismissed former president for his failed coup d’état in 2022, and Boluarte as vice president.

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International

Guterres calls for “avoiding at all costs” the integration of AI into nuclear weapons

UN Secretary-General António Guterres advocated on Thursday in the UN Security Council to “avoid at all costs” the integration of artificial intelligence (AI) in nuclear weapons, something that could have “potentially disastrous consequences”.

“AI without human supervision would leave the world blind, and would put world peace and security in a dangerous and reckless place,” Guterres told the Security Council, where a ministerial session is being held today, chaired by US Secretary of State, Anthony Blinken, on the progress of this tool and its implications in global security.

The Secretary General stressed that, while AI is making “a positive difference” in countries suffering from conflicts, food insecurity or the effects of climate change, it has also entered “the battlefield in a more problematic way.”

In this sense, he indicated that recent conflicts have become a testing ground for military applications of AI, which “creates a fertile ground for misunderstandings, miscalculations and mistakes.”

Humans and the algorithm

Thus, he recalled that this tool has already been used to select targets and make “life or death” decisions, and pointed out that cyberattacks made possible by AI “could paralyze the critical infrastructures of a country and its essential services.”

“Let’s be clear: the fate of humanity should never be left in the hands of the ‘black box’ of an algorithm. Humans must always have control in decision-making guided by international law, including international humanitarian and human rights laws and ethical principles,” he added.

In addition to its effects on international security, Guterres focused on the danger posed by the AI creating “very realistic content” that is then spread on the Internet and “manipulates public opinion, threatens the integrity of information and makes the truth indistinguishable from lies.”

The Portuguese politician brought up the UN Global Digital Compact, which was approved last September and addresses the rapid advance of AI, and shared his intention to finance innovative opportunities for this tool “where it is most needed.”

“A world of rich and poor in AI would be a world of perpetual instability. We must never allow (this technology) to lead to an advance of inequality,” he stressed, and said that technology must be “at the service of all humanity.”

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