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Harris surpasses Trump in Latin voting intention, but the Democratic advantage is reduced

Vice President and Democratic candidate Kamala Harris surpasses her Republican opponent, former President Donald Trump, in Latin voting intention, but has the slightest advantage of a Democratic candidate in the last four elections in the United States, according to a poll by Telemundo, NBC News and CNBC published this Sunday.

Harris achieved 54% of the voting intention compared to 40% of Trump in a poll with 1,000 Latino voters registered in the US, conducted in English and Spanish between September 15 and 23 and with a margin of error of more or less 3.1 percentage points.

Harris’ 14 percentage point advantage over Trump improves the one that President Joe Biden had before withdrawing his candidacy for re-election last July, but the figure represents the narrowest margin for a Democratic candidate since 2012, says CNBC.

What do Latinos think of Harris and Trump?

54% of respondents also indicated that they prefer Congress to be controlled by the Democrats, compared to 42% who prefer the Republicans, which also represents the most reduced Democratic advantage since 2012.

The survey shows that the cost of living and inflation, as well as jobs and the economy, are the issues of greatest concern for Latinos, in line with the general trend in the United States, and those are the issues in which Trump has the best score.

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46% of respondents said they preferred Trump over 37% to Harris when it comes to tackling inflation, and in economic matters in general Trump also prevails (45% versus 41%).

Migration and borders

Regarding other issues, Harris surpasses Trump with the greatest advantage (39 percentage points) in human treatment and protection of immigrants’ rights, followed by the issue of abortion (32 points).

However, the survey reflects the diversity of the Latino community in the US and its division in immigration issues: for example, 62% said that immigration helps more than it harms and 35% the opposite, the latter percentage being the highest among Latinos in two decades, according to Telemundo.

Apart from that, 52% considered it more important to give immigrants a way for citizenship and avoid their discrimination, compared to 47% who advocated making the border safer and stopping the illegal crossing of immigrants.

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Central America

Guatemalan suspect wanted for human smuggling network that transported 20,000 migrants

The U.S. Embassy in Guatemala has called for public assistance on social media to find and capture a Guatemalan man suspected of being involved in a human smuggling ring that transported 20,000 migrants to the United States. This comes as President Donald Trump continues his crackdown on irregular migration.

Helmer Obispo Hernández, who “is believed to be in Guatemala,” is accused of being “part of a people smuggling network,” the embassy stated on social media platform X, providing a link to report “any information about” the man.

Hernández, 41, is a “lieutenant” in the “criminal organization” led by Guatemalan Eduardo Renoj, who was arrested a few days ago in California, according to U.S. authorities.

Renoj is accused of leading “one of the largest human smuggling organizations in the U.S.,” the U.S. Attorney’s office in Los Angeles said in a statement on Monday.

Along with Renoj, 49-year-old Cristóbal Mejía, his “alleged right-hand man,” was also arrested.

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Migrants smuggled from Guatemala reportedly paid between $15,000 and $18,000 to the ring, the embassy said.

Renoj’s organization is linked to a 2023 traffic accident in Oklahoma that resulted in seven deaths, including a four-year-old child. The driver of the vehicle involved is in custody.

“Identifying and dismantling these organizations makes our borders safer and creates a stronger and more prosperous region,” the U.S. embassy stated.

Guatemalan authorities have not provided any updates on Obispo as of now.

Like much of Central America, Guatemala was part of the route used by thousands of migrants to reach the United States, which has tightened its immigration policies since Trump returned to the presidency in January.

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In recent weeks, there has been a reverse trend of migrants heading south through Central America after abandoning their plans to reach the U.S. due to fears of being deported.

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International

U.S. and Mexico intensify border security measures amid ongoing migration crisis

On the U.S. side of the border, soldiers are placing barbed wire along the massive border wall, while on the Mexican side, troops have set up a camp on the edge of a mountain. In both cases, the goal is the same: to close off any gaps for irregular migration.

The military presence on this 3,100 km border was strengthened after Donald Trump returned to power, declaring the region a “state of emergency” and pressuring Mexico to deploy an additional 10,000 soldiers.

These efforts seem to be yielding results, according to figures from U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP), which reported a 65% decrease in migrant interceptions in January compared to the same month in 2024.

“If there were a hundred crossings a day before, now it’s no more than five. Yesterday, there were none,” says a Mexican National Guard officer during a patrol in the impoverished mountainous area of Nido de las Águilas, where the metal fence weaves through much of Tijuana.

The officer, who spoke on the condition of anonymity, attributes these results to the “coordination” between CBP and the Mexican National Guard, including a WhatsApp group where both forces share data, photos, and videos from their operations.

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For Mexico, containing migration and the trafficking of fentanyl to the U.S. is crucial—issues Trump uses to justify the 25% tariff on exports from both Mexico and Canada, its partners in the USMCA trade agreement.

However, the offensive against migrants, which includes the deportation of individuals who fled poverty, violence, and authoritarian governments to reach the U.S., was not enough to prevent the tariff from taking effect this week.

Even worse, Trump has declared a “war” on drug cartels, which he labels as “terrorists,” and whose crackdown was intensified by Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum.

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International

Prosecutor orders investigation into potential ties between Milei and Libra crypto collapse

Argentine federal prosecutor Eduardo Taiano has ordered an investigation into the phone records of individuals implicated in the Libra cryptocurrency scandal, including the country’s president, Javier Milei, to determine if there were any communications between them.

Sources involved in the investigation confirmed to the Argentine newspaper La Nación that Taiano is already analyzing the data to establish whether there were any call exchanges among key figures linked to the launch of the virtual currency. The cryptocurrency saw exponential growth after Milei mentioned it on social media, only to collapse shortly afterward, potentially leading to fraud charges.

To advance the probe, authorities have requested the collaboration of the Directorate of Technical Assistance for Criminal Investigation (Datip), a department within the Prosecutor’s Office, as they previously did with the Specialized Cybercrime Prosecutor’s Unit.

According to the prosecutor, the investigation is focused on potential crimes, including abuse of authority, fraud, influence peddling, and bribery. The judiciary has requested information from Argentina’s Central Bank and companies such as Google in an effort to determine the cryptocurrency’s origin and the role of Milei and five businessmen in its rise and downfall, La Nación reported.

Milei has faced over a hundred legal complaints following his promotion of the cryptocurrency, which later collapsed, causing significant financial losses for investors. Plaintiffs have cited statements from one of Libra’s partners, businessman Hayden Mark Davies, who acknowledged having served as an advisor to Milei and claimed that the president “endorsed and promoted” the project.

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