Faced with the general coldness towards his ‘Victory Plan’, which calls for urgent military aid to force Russia to negotiate a peace that does not involve the transfer of Ukrainian territories, President Volodymyr Zelensky has openly raised for the first time since the beginning of the war the possibility of negotiating with Russia a partial truce that would lower the intensity of the conflict.

“We don’t attack their energy infrastructure and they don’t attack ours. Could this bring this to an end to the hot phase of the war? I think so,” Zelenski said last week in a meeting with journalists.

According to Anglo-Saxon media published this week that cite sources familiar with the process, representatives of Ukraine and Russia would have already initiated contacts for this cessation of mutual attacks against energy-related targets that would give Kiev guarantees to face the winter without new bombing of its power plants and would put an end to the destruction with Ukrainian drones of Russian refineries.

These talks for a truce in this chapter would be the resumption of a process that would have already taken place this summer with the mediation of Qatar, which continues to facilitate contacts, and which derailed, as it was said at the time, due to the beginning in early August of the Ukrainian cross-border operation in the Russian oblast of Kursk, where Kiev controls part of the territory.

One of the points of the “Peace Formula”

Guaranteeing energy security is one of the ten points of the so-called Ukrainian Peace Formula, a document composed of ten proposals among which the demand that Russia withdraw from all the territories it occupies in Ukraine stands out.

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CEL

The ‘Peace Formula’ was discussed at a first international summit held in June in Switzerland.

The issue of energy security (specifically nuclear) was, along with the requirement to allow freedom of navigation in the Black Sea and the Sea of Azov to guarantee food exports, one of the three points included in the final communiqué, which was signed by about 80 countries and international organizations.

The third point endorsed by the signatories was the one that proposes the release of all prisoners of war on both sides and the return to Ukrainian territory of adults in Russian captivity and deported or displaced children.

No positive signals from its partners

The so-called Victory Plan presented by Kiev asks its allies to immediately provide the Ukrainian Army with sufficient military equipment and long-range weapons to stabilize the front and begin attacking Russian territory more systematically.

According to Kiev’s calculations, if its main partners materialize the plan, Russia would be forced to sit down to negotiate the ‘Peace Formula’ in a second international summit that Ukraine aspires to organize before the end of the year.

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None of Ukraine’s allies capable of providing this level of military aid has shown signs of being interested in meeting these demands of Kiev, which for the moment has to make do with staying on the defensive at the front while opening up to a specific commitment that will not put an end to hostilities but would help both parties to cope with the wear and tear of two long years of war.