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Global conflict surge in 2024 sees a 25% increase in political violence and 223,000 deaths

The world experienced a new surge in conflicts in 2024, according to data provided by the NGO Armed Conflict Location and Event Data (ACLED), which maps conflicts across all regions. Political violence increased by 25% worldwide in 2024 compared to 2023, with one in eight people exposed to conflict and 223,000 deaths, according to the NGO’s estimates.

The data also suggests that global conflicts have doubled in the past five years. Another study from the International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS) concludes that the intensity and human cost of armed conflicts are also rising, with 37% more deaths in the year up to June of the previous year compared to the same period a year earlier.

According to ACLED, “Palestine is the most conflicted country in the world,” and “the Middle East is the most affected region.” The organization bases its assessment on four indicators: mortality, danger, diffusion, and fragmentation of armed conflicts. It estimates that 81% of the Palestinian population is exposed to conflict, with 35,000 deaths recorded in the last 12 months. In the Palestinian territories, an average of 52 conflict incidents occur daily.

Since the war between Israel and Hamas erupted in October 2023, the UN estimates that more than 45,000 Palestinians have died in Gaza. ACLED counts over 50,000 deaths in the Palestinian territories, including the West Bank and East Jerusalem. Meanwhile, the war in Ukraine remains the deadliest in the world, and Myanmar, where the internal conflict has ravaged the country since the military coup in 2021, has the highest number of armed groups.

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International

Arce urges ALBA to push for UN declaration on migration as a human right

Bolivian President Luis Arce proposed on Monday at the extraordinary summit of the Bolivarian Alliance for the Peoples of Our America (ALBA-TCP) that the bloc bring before the United Nations the declaration of migration as a “human right” to prevent its “criminalization” by any “superpower.”

“The real challenge lies in preventing any attempt to criminalize migration. We must ensure dignified treatment for every person on the move,” Arce stated during a virtual address at the plenary session, which also commemorated the 230th anniversary of liberator Antonio José de Sucre.

The Bolivian president suggested that the countries within ALBA should “be the driving force in the multilateral arena to have the United Nations declare migration as a human right.”

“We have seen scenes of deportation from the U.S. of men and women shackled and handcuffed, evoking memories of slavery… we cannot accept these violations of migrants’ rights,” he emphasized.

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International

Noboa orders border closure and military reinforcement in response to security threats

Ecuadorian President Daniel Noboa ordered the closure of the country’s borders on Monday, one day before and two days after the upcoming general elections on Sunday, in which he is running for re-election. He justified the measure as a response to attempts at destabilization by armed groups.

In a brief message posted on X (formerly Twitter), the president ordered the reinforcement of military presence on the country’s northern and southern borders “in response to attempts at destabilization by armed groups,” without providing further details or identifying them. He specified that the measure would be in effect from February 8 to 10, during which “the borders will remain closed.”

The elections, in which Noboa is seeking re-election for a four-year term, will take place on Sunday, February 9. Noboa has focused his government policy on the fight against violence, and since January 2024, the country has been under an internal armed conflict state, which allows the mobilization of the military for security tasks.

The president also ordered the military to take control of “the ports immediately,” without providing further explanation for the decision. The ports have been identified as key departure points for large quantities of drugs, particularly cocaine from Colombia, destined for the United States and Europe, among others. Last year, the Ecuadorian police seized approximately 294 tons of drugs.

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International

Lula celebrates Mercosur-EU trade deal as ‘extraordinary opportunity’ for Brazil

Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva sent a message to Parliament on Monday, marking the opening of the legislative year, in which he celebrated the “extraordinary opportunities” presented by the trade agreement between Mercosur and the European Union (EU).

The agreement, announced last December, “creates the largest free trade market in the world, opens extraordinary opportunities for Brazil and its neighbors,” and was reached “in a geopolitical context of growing protectionism and unilateralism,” Lula emphasized in his message, which was read during a solemn session of Parliament.

Negotiations between the EU and Mercosur (Argentina, Brazil, Uruguay, and Paraguay, with Bolivia in the final stages of joining) had been ongoing for 25 years, concluded last December, and are now in the process of technical review and ratification.

On the external front, Lula also reaffirmed his defense of “multilateralism” in international relations and, on the domestic front, proposed “dialogue and respect” with Parliament to strengthen democracy and economic growth.

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